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Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.LinkedIn's server was abnormally disconnected from the network. Customer Service: The recovery time is uncertain for the time being. On December 13th, several LinkedIn owners reported that the user's APP car control was abnormal and could not connect to the network. Link Auto Customer Service said that this incident was caused by the abnormal fluctuation of the cloud server, which led to the abnormal use of some car control apps. Currently, it is being urgently processed, and the recovery time is uncertain. (On the news)CICC: It is expected that the central bank will further set up other new monetary instruments in the future. CICC said that on the basis of Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party, the policy objectives and directions of the Central Economic Work Conference have been further stated. For next year's economic goals, after "maintaining stable economic growth", the meeting proposed to "maintain overall stability in employment and prices" and pointed out that "we should pay attention to target guidance and strive to achieve an optimal combination of stable growth, stable employment and reasonable price recovery". In terms of monetary policy, CICC believes that this meeting clearly pointed out that "timely RRR cuts and interest rate cuts". It is expected that in order to meet the government bond issuance, credit supply and seasonal liquidity demand, the RRR cut may be implemented before the Spring Festival, and the interest rate cut may also be gradually promoted with the Fed's interest rate cut. CICC also judged that in the past period, the central bank has established new monetary instruments such as treasury bonds trading tools, securities fund insurance company exchange facilities, and affordable housing refinancing, and its ability to play a role in the stock, bond, real estate and other markets has been strengthened, and other new instruments may be further established in the future. (SSE)

In 2024, the actual sales revenue of the console game market in China was 4.488 billion yuan, up 55.13% year-on-year. On December 12th, Tang Jiajun, deputy secretary-general of China Audio-visual and Digital Publishing Association and secretary-general of the Game Working Committee, released the Report on the Survey of the Global Console Game Market in 2024 and the Report on the Protection of Minors in China Game Industry in 2024, which pointed out that the actual sales revenue of the console game market in China in 2024 reached 4.488 billion yuan, up 55% year-on-year. In 2024, the number of console game users in China reached 11,546,300, up 14.05% year-on-year. The launch of the domestic game "Black Myth: Wukong" has greatly increased the market size, user size and even the sales of host equipment in China, and promoted the development of the host game market in China.The cryptocurrency market fluctuated violently again, exceeding 110,000 people. In the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency headed by Bitcoin jumped up and down. After Trump said "something great will be done in the cryptocurrency field", the price of Bitcoin once rose to about $102,500, and then profit-making funds poured out. Bitcoin plunged over $3,000, and the lowest dropped to around $99,200. Other smaller cryptocurrency varieties followed suit. Coinglass data shows that within 24 hours, the number of people in the cryptocurrency market has exceeded 110,000. At present, there are great differences in the market on cryptocurrency. Some optimists predict that Bitcoin may reach $150,000 in mid-2025. At the NEXT meeting in Reuters this week, American bankers expressed their caution about cryptocurrencies. BlackRock, a world-renowned asset management company, suggested in a report on Thursday that interested investors could consider allocating 2% of their portfolio to Bitcoin. However, the report also warned: "Investors should also be alert to the risks of Bitcoin, which may not be widely adopted in the end, and it is still very unstable and vulnerable to sharp selling." In addition, Turkish regulators said they would block access to dozens of cryptocurrency exchanges. (Broker China)The Hang Seng Index fell by 1.6%; Led by industrial and commercial stocks, the Hang Seng Index fell 1.6% to 20,072.69 in Hong Kong. In midday trading, industrial and commercial stocks led the market down, and all kinds of stocks fell; Of the 83 stocks, 75 fell and 7 rose. Meituan dragged down the index the most, falling by 2.8%. Budweiser Asia Pacific suffered the biggest decline, down 6.1%.

Li Zaiming, leader of the largest opposition party in South Korea, issued a statement urging members of the ruling party to support the impeachment of Yin Xiyue. Li Zaiming, leader of the Common Democratic Party, the largest opposition party in South Korea, issued a statement in the National Assembly on the 13th, calling on members of the ruling party, members of the National Force, to vote on the impeachment case of President Yin Xiyue on the 14th and support the passage of the case.Fuli Zong took the helm for 100 days: the management, dealers and product ideas were completely adjusted. At the end of August this year, Fuli Zong took over the legal representative, chairman and general manager of Hangzhou Wahaha Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Wahaha") from his father Zong Qinghou, and took over 29.40% of the company's shares. By early December, more than three months had passed. In just 100 days, Fuli Zong, who is in charge of Wahaha, has implemented a series of controversial reform measures, including adjusting the organizational structure and almost completely replacing the core management; The employee contract and distributor contract of the core department were signed to Hongsheng Beverage Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Hongsheng Beverage"); Reconstruct the dealer system, and even select the dealers in the form of "bidding" for the first time ... On December 11 -12, I called Ye Yaqiong, director of the president's office and director of the government affairs center of Wahaha Group, and contacted Wahaha public affairs related people to send them an interview outline, but as of press time, I did not get a reply. (21 Finance)Turkish regulators will block access to dozens of cryptocurrency exchanges.